Monday, March 17, 2008

Ship it..

How many times have you heard the line 'Ship it' at the tables.


I had position on this guy last night but could not win a hand. He was playing 40/20/3 over 60 hands or so. The game went like this.
He bet, I folded.. 'ship it'
He bet, I raised, he called. I miss flop completely, he bets I fold.. 'ship it'
He bet, I call. I miss flop, he bets I fold.. 'ship it'

Every time he won a hand vs me he would type 'Ship it' in the chat. It was a little frustrating but I was determined not to tilt. I couldnt even flop middle pair and didnt want to reraise him with air just yet. My table image was turning tight passive which is not my usual game.

Then just like that I get given some tools to lay a trap out.

$0.5/$1 No Limit Holdem
5 players
Converted at weaktight.com


Stacks:
UTG ($50.40)
CO ($61.55)
BTN ($192.95)
Hero ($101.75)
BB ($69.70)


Pre-flop: ($1.5, 5 players) Hero is SB

1 fold, CO calls $1, BTN raises to $4, Hero calls $3.5, 1 fold, CO calls $3

Flop: ($13, 3 players)
Hero bets $7, CO goes all-in $57.55, BTN raises to $115.1, Hero goes all-in $90.75

Turn: ($283.4, 3 players)

River: ($283.4, 3 players)
BTN shows:
Hero shows:
CO shows:

BTN wins $17.35 ( lost -$101.75 )
Hero wins $262.55 ( won +$160.8 )
CO lost -$61.55

Its not the best position to be in here. After a huge overbet all in from the CO who was playing a loosish passive game 30/10 and a reraise all in from ship it boy, Im left with an all in call with bottom set. I put this hand up on the 2p2 forums and the feedback was that calling was the right move. The board is draw heavy, clubs straights and overpairs could be making this move as well as 77 or 55.

Pokerstove

Board: 5c 3h 7c
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 35.807% 35.66% 00.15% 322 1.33 { 3c3s }
Hand 1: 25.508% 25.36% 00.15% 229 1.33 { AcKc }
Hand 2: 38.686% 38.54% 00.15% 348 1.33 { 6s4d }


Board: 5c 3h 7c
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 74.091% 73.64% 00.45% 729 4.50 { 3c3s }
Hand 1: 25.909% 25.45% 00.45% 252 4.50 { AcKc }

So im 35.8% of winning $184.65 ($61.55 x 3)
and 74% of winning $77.9 ($262.55 - $184.65)

35.8% x 184.65 = $66.10
74% x $77.9 = $57.6
Average winnings from this situation = $66.1+$57.6 = $123.7

im calling $90.75 to win $123.7, net profit of $32.95 profit if i call.


Now i dont usually break the math down to these levels so I would like to know if that is correct or not.


I couldnt resist the chat box. Unfortunately i never screenshotted it but it went like this.

ryverrat: erm....
ryverrat: ship
ryverrat: it.

I slept well last night

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