Thursday, June 11, 2009

Looking for Spots of Value

Its not just the big hands that require a lot of thought. By applying logical thought on the smaller hands can increase your winrate significantly.

$0.25/$0.5 No Limit Holdem
6 players
Converted at

UTG ($55.20)
UTG+1 ($48.50)
CO ($10.00)
Hero (BTN) ($61.77)
SB ($9.75)
BB ($63.35)

Pre-flop: ($0.75, 6 players) Hero is BTN

1 fold, UTG+1 raises to $1.75, 1 fold, Hero calls $1.75, 2 folds

Flop: ($4.25, 2 players)
UTG+1 bets $2.50, Hero raises to $7.50, UTG+1 folds

Final Pot: $9.25
Hero shows:

Hero wins $13.79 ( won +$4.54 )
UTG+1 lost -$4.25

Now where this may look a little straightforward there was a lot of thought that went into this. I would like to explain to those that may not think that deep within basic hands.

Villian is 14/11/5 style. He is a tight aggro player raising from UTG+1. We can assume his range is very tight here. TT-AA, AQs+, AKo with a smaller chance of lower pocket pairs. I call for set value here, hoping the blinds will call too.

This flop is super safe. Villain will lead out with 100% of his range here. I dont see any hand that he doesnt lead here. Now the chances of him having a Ten in his hand is very very low. The chances of me, a caller to a pf raise on the button, having a Ten is way higher. So, how would we play a Ten here. Some would say call here. But I think that would give your range as a T or a flush draw, I think that if I had a Ten here I would raise to protect vs any flush draw that he may have. A raise here doesnt seem bluffy as this would be exactly how I would play a Ten. He is a thinking player and there is hardly any chance he can now just call out of position here. With the fact that I am repping a Ten here and the story is viable that my range includes a Ten then I dont see him rereraising here with overpairs.

Position, raising ranges and calling ranges vs a thinking player. Put yourself in their shoes and imagine how you would play in their position.

**Note that if he is a fishy player this play does not work. They will keep raising/pushing with any overpairs**

Just my ramblings.. hope it helps someone.



Anonymous said...

But given the huge implied odds he still could call you with a flush draw...or JJ-QQ-KK-AA.

I think this play works out but if you do it too often then there will be someone who will play back at you. So I would say this is a safe play once an hour :-)

Ryverrat said...

hmm... would you advise raising bigger to reduce the implied odds ?

Anonymous said...

I would say this gives a reasonable chance to stay around.
Either raise the amount....or wait for the river card and then bet. This is in line with Harrington. I think many players would call the turn bet as it could be a cbet as well and they still have 2 cards to come..Imegine what happens if he calls your would have a hard time betting again

Ryverrat said...

This is a not a cbet. I am in position in this hand and I am reraising his cbet.

My hand here screams a Ten. There is more chance he has an overpair than a flushdraw based on his preflop positional range and he is more likely to 4 bet here than call out of position wiht an overpair.

If he reraises I can get away but I think more often than not a thinking player will throw their overs here to my line.

Maybe im playing too much fps (fancy play syndrome) and it will come back and bite me in the ass :)

Poker Rakeback said...

Hey Man I like your blog. You need to realize that he is raising from UTG+1 and his PFR - 11 that screams strenght.

But PFR can be scewed his UTG+1 range can be 6% if his ATS 30%+ so make sure you will include ATS statistic in your hud.

Vs such a strong range I think your play isn't optimal.

I will be writing a poker strategy blog at - come check it out.

If you will have any questions just write me an email to and ill try to answer them in the blog.